A senator tried to ban gambling on prediction markets—now she's a Kalshi lobbyist
摘要
美国参议员布兰奇·林肯曾在2010年警告预测市场可能借“事件合约”规避赌博法律，并参与制定相关监管法规。如今，她成为预测市场平台Kalshi的说客，呼吁商品期货交易委员会允许在该平台进行体育博彩。她创立的公司自2024年以来已从Kalshi获得48万美元，用于游说国会和CFTC放宽对事件合约的监管。
In July 2010, US Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) predicted the rise of prediction markets and the problems they could cause. If not properly regulated, Lincoln warned during Senate proceedings on the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, prediction markets could evade gambling laws by offering "event contracts" that let people place wagers on sports games.
"It would be quite easy to construct an event contract around sporting events such as the Super Bowl, the Kentucky Derby, and Masters golf tournament," Lincoln, who played a key role in making the law that now regulates prediction markets, told fellow senators. "These types of contracts would not serve any real commercial purpose. Rather, they would be used solely for gambling."
Today, Lincoln is a lobbyist for prediction market Kalshi and has urged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to allow sports gambling on the markets. The firm she founded has received $480,000 from Kalshi since 2024 in exchange for lobbying Congress and the CFTC for looser regulation of event contracts.
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